From April 2015 to July 2015 2500 spillover visas has been given to EB2 India reducing the inventory from21,202 to 18,744.
The I1485 released on August 12th is a very Good news for EB2 India as the horizon looks good for 2016 fiscal year. Both EB2 India and China has been retrogressed to Jan 1 2006. Since October 1 st begins the start of Fiscal year both India and China shall receive the Per country limit of visa i.e 2800 visa.
Per the I1485 inventory of China if it receives the standard 2800 visa it shall move the visa Bulletin movement to at least July 2012 in Fiscal year 2016, Hence all Spillover will flow to EB2 India in Fiscal year 2016 .This is a very good news to EB2 India Folks.
Even without any Spillover to EB2 India the visa bulletin for Fiscal year 2016 which officially start from October 2016 to September 2016 should move the visa Bulletin to September 2009 for EB2 India by applying the 2800 standard visa as per the current I1485 inventory data.
For sure there would be Spillover to EB2IIndia, worst case scenario being 5000 visas which would still place EB2 India Visa Bulletin Cut off to March/April 2010 .
We have not considered porting from EB3I to EB2I which could have a hard impact on EB2I movement but Reaching First quarter of 2010 for EB2 India is a very good Predicted analysis based on current I1485 Data.
Official I485 Inventory data: http://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/files/nativedocuments/EB_I485_Pending_Inventory_07202015.pdf